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Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued for area in the East-Central Atlantic, only with 10% chance for development, not expected to do much.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 239 (Idalia) , Major: 239 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 239 (Idalia) Major: 239 (Idalia)
 
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#1064128 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:42 PM 01.Oct.2021)
TCMAT3

HURRICANE SAM FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182021
0300 UTC SAT OCT 02 2021

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 61.2W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 940 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 45SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 180SE 130SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 315SE 300SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 61.2W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.7N 61.5W

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 33.5N 60.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 130SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 35.8N 58.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 140SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 37.7N 55.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...170NE 200SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 39.6N 52.2W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...170NE 200SE 160SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 43.0N 47.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 180SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 47.2N 43.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 80NW.
34 KT...200NE 220SE 200SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 50.5N 38.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 54.5N 27.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.4N 61.2W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 02/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN