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Storm #Arlene still firing convection near the center today while spinning fish
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#210523 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 PM 25.Aug.2008)
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
2100 UTC MON AUG 25 2008

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE SOUTHERN BORDER OF
HAITI...AND FOR THE SOUTHWEST PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE SOUTHERN
BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND PORT-AU-PRINCE WESTWARD. A
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HAITI FROM NORTH OF
PORT-AU-PRINCE TO THE NORTHERN BORDER OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING EAST OF BARAHONA TO A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE
SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC EAST OF BARAHONA TO SANTO
DOMINGO.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 71.0W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 45NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 71.0W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 70.5W

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.2N 72.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.4N 73.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 25NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 19.4N 74.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 20.2N 75.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 21.3N 77.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 22.0N 79.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 23.0N 81.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 71.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH