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#Cindy now a very large inland Tropical Depression with ongoing flood and isolated tornado risks
# of days since last Hurricane Landfall - US: Any 258 (Matthew) , Major: 4260 (11 y 7 m) (Wilma) Florida - Any: 294 (Hermine) Major: 4260 (11 y 7 m) (Wilma)
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#212689 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:43 AM 02.Sep.2008)
TCDAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUSTAV DISCUSSION NUMBER 35
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
500 AM EDT TUE SEP 02 2008

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS OVER LOUISIANA INDICATE THAT GUSTAV HAS
WEAKENED BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. CURRENT INTENSITY IS NOW
ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 30 KT. THE CYCLONE SHOULD CONTINUE TO SPIN
DOWN BUT AT A MORE GRADUAL RATE..IN GENERAL ACCORDANCE WITH THE
EXPONENTIAL INLAND DECAY MODEL. GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT GUSTAV
OR ITS REMNANTS WILL INTERACT WITH A BAROCLINIC ZONE AND MERGE WITH
THAT FEATURE IN 3 TO 4 DAYS. THEREFORE THE FORECAST SHOWS
DISSIPATION BY DAY 5.

INITIAL MOTION IS AROUND 315/9. ADDITIONAL DECELERATION IS LIKELY
AS THE STEERING CURRENT WEAKENS FURTHER DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
THEREAFTER...THE CONSENSUS OF THE GLOBAL DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE CALLS
FOR A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST AS MID-LEVEL
SOUTHWESTERLY ENVIRONMENTAL FLOW BEGINS TO IMPACT THE SYSTEM. THE
OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST FOLLOWS THIS GUIDANCE.

ASIDE FROM SEVERE LOCAL STORMS...THE THREAT FROM GUSTAV HAS SHIFTED
TO HEAVY RAINS AND THE ASSOCIATED INLAND FLOODING. THIS IS THE LAST
ADVISORY ON GUSTAV FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. FUTURE
INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED
BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCPAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT32 KWNH...BEGINNING AT 10 AM CDT.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 02/0900Z 31.7N 93.4W 30 KT
12HR VT 02/1800Z 32.4N 94.2W 25 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 03/0600Z 33.0N 94.8W 25 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 03/1800Z 33.5N 95.2W 20 KT...INLAND...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 04/0600Z 34.1N 95.2W 20 KT...INLAND...REMNANT LOW
72HR VT 05/0600Z 35.0N 94.0W 20 KT...INLAND...REMNANT LOW
96HR VT 06/0600Z 35.5N 92.5W 20 KT...INLAND...REMNANT LOW
120HR VT 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER PASCH