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Tracking a Caribbean Wave and keeping an eye on the potential for new Caribbean Gyre/Trough development next week
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 15 (Nate) , Major: 33 (Maria) Florida - Any: 43 (Irma) Major: 43 (Irma)
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#4131 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:49 PM 10.Aug.2004)
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM AST TUE AUG 10 2004

...CHARLEY CONTINUES MOVING RAPIDLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE
CARIBBEAN...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA. THIS WATCH WILL
PROBABLY BE CHANGED TO A WARNING LATER TODAY. A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY.

INTERESTS IN AND AROUND THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN SEA
SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

AT 2 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.7 WEST OR ABOUT
275 MILES... 440 KM...SOUTH OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC.

CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 24 MPH
...39 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL BE APPROACHING
JAMAICA TUESDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES
...165 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE IS SCHEDULED TO
INVESTIGATE CHARLEY LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

REPEATING THE 2 PM AST POSITION...14.5 N... 69.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 24 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM AST.

FORECASTER PASCH