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#4154 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:56 PM 10.Aug.2004)
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032004
2100Z TUE AUG 10 2004

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF HAITI HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE SOUTHWEST PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER WESTWARD INCLUDING PORT-AU-PRINCE.

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR JAMAICA.

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS
ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 70.8W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 23 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 50SE 0SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 100SE 50SW 175NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 70.8W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 69.8W

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 16.3N 74.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 50SE 0SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 17.7N 77.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 50SE 30SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 19.4N 80.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 21.0N 82.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 25.0N 83.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 29.0N 83.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 33.0N 81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 70.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z

FORECASTER PASCH