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#4800 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:02 PM 13.Aug.2004)
TCMAT3
HURRICANE CHARLEY SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032004
1800Z FRI AUG 13 2004

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE
DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER.

AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...A HURRICANE WARNING IS ISSUED FOR THE
SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST FROM COCOA BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE
SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE ALSO ISSUED FROM
NORTH OF THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA
MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH FLORIDA...
INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO
SOUND.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 82.4W AT 13/1800Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 954 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 140SE 60SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 82.4W AT 13/1800Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 82.9W

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 27.5N 81.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 31.5N 80.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...135NE 135SE 25SW 25NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 36.0N 77.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 40.5N 74.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 46.5N 68.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.0N 82.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z

FORECASTER LAWRENCE