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Tracking a Caribbean Wave and keeping an eye on the potential for new Caribbean Gyre/Trough development next week
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 13 (Nate) , Major: 31 (Maria) Florida - Any: 41 (Irma) Major: 41 (Irma)
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#5010 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:55 AM 14.Aug.2004)
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 20A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM EDT SAT AUG 14 2004

...CHARLEY EXITING FLORIDA...HEADING FOR THE CAROLINAS...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM COCOA BEACH FLORIDA
NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA ON THE SOUTHEAST U.S.
COAST INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ON THE NORTH CAROLINA AND
VIRGINIA COASTS NORTH OF OREGON INLET TO CHINCOTEAGUE...INCLUDING
THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF SMITH POINT.

AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM JUPITER INLET
TO JUST SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH FLORIDA IS DISCONTINUED.

AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED
OVER THE ATLANTIC NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 80.8 WEST
OR ABOUT 190 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA.

CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...CHARLEY WILL BE NEARING
THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST LATER TODAY.

DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT CHARLEY IS STILL A
HURRICANE AFTER MOVING ACROSS FLORIDA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
REMAIN NEAR 85 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS
POSSIBLE TODAY AS THE CENTER MOVES OVER WARM WATER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85
MILES.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 993
MB...28.50 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 8 TO 10 FT IS EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA COASTS NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE
CENTER OF CHARLEY CROSSES THE COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO
7 FEET IS EXPECTED IN THE REMAINDER OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF
CHARLEY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF COASTAL
GEORGIA...SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA.

REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...30.1 N... 80.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 993 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM EDT.

FORECASTER AVILA