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#51994 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:46 AM 16.Oct.2005)
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2005

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION CONTINUES TO SLOWLY GET BETTER ORGANIZED AS
IT DRIFTS WESTWARD OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR ALL
OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN
36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 79.3 WEST OR
ABOUT 200 MILES... 325 KM... SOUTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN AND ABOUT
140 MILES... 225 KM... SOUTHWEST OF MONTEGO BAY JAMAICA.

THE DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 2 MPH... 4 KM/HR.
A GENERAL WEST OR SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION OF ABOUT 3 MPH...6 KM/HR...
IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER... STEERING CURRENTS
ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN WEAK SO SOME ERRATIC MOTION WILL BE
POSSIBLE.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST... AND THE DEPRESSION
COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OVER
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND JAMAICA... WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 8 TO 12
INCHES POSSIBLE.

REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...17.0 N... 79.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT.

FORECASTER STEWART