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#7154 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 PM 02.Sep.2004)
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092004
2100Z THU SEP 02 2004

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.7N 29.1W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.7N 29.1W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.7N 28.3W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 9.7N 31.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 10.0N 35.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 10.3N 38.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 10.8N 41.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 15SE 15SW 40NW.
34 KT... 75NE 40SE 40SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 12.0N 48.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 50SE 50SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 12.9N 54.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 14.0N 60.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.7N 29.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

FORECASTER KNABB/PASCH