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#7220 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:36 AM 03.Sep.2004)
TCMAT1
HURRICANE FRANCES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062004
0900Z FRI SEP 03 2004

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA
FROM FLORIDA CITY NORTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE. A HURRICANE WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE
MIDDLE AND UPPER FLORIDA KEYS FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY SOUTHWARD
TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 76.0W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 954 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 70NE 75SE 40SW 75NW.
50 KT.......120NE 90SE 70SW 100NW.
34 KT.......160NE 150SE 100SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..350NE 180SE 180SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 76.0W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 75.7W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 25.7N 77.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 75NW.
50 KT...120NE 90SE 70SW 100NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 26.4N 78.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 75NW.
50 KT...120NE 90SE 70SW 100NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 27.1N 79.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
50 KT...120NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 27.6N 80.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 29.0N 83.0W...OVER GULF OF MEXICO
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 32.0N 86.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 35.0N 86.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.9N 76.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

FORECASTER BEVEN