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#7633 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:38 PM 08.Sep.2004)
TCMAT4
HURRICANE IVAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092004
2100Z WED SEP 08 2004

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ARUBA...BONAIRE...AND
CURACAO.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE GUAJIRA PENINSULA OF COLOMBIA...AND FOR THE ENTIRE NORTHERN
COAST OF VENEZUELA.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE SOUTHWEST PENINSULA OF
HAITI FROM THE BORDER OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WESTWARD...
INCLUDING PORT AU PRINCE.

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR JAMAICA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST
OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM SANTO DOMINGO WESTWARD TO
PEDERNALES.

INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE IVAN.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 67.7W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 947 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 20SE 20SW 60NW.
50 KT.......100NE 75SE 35SW 100NW.
34 KT.......140NE 125SE 50SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 140SE 140SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 67.7W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 67.0W

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 14.2N 69.8W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 40SW 100NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 60SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 15.5N 72.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 100NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 80SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 17.0N 74.7W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 100NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 18.5N 77.0W OVER JAMAICA
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 100NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 20.5N 80.0W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 22.5N 82.0W OVER CUBA
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 26.0N 83.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 67.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z

FORECASTER AVILA