Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane CenterHurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season officially over. 2018's runs June 1st-Nov 30th, 2018.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 68 (Nate) , Major: 86 (Maria) Florida - Any: 96 (Irma) Major: 96 (Irma)
None
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
ADS
Login to remove ads

 
Show Selection:
Show plain - Location:
#7740 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 PM 09.Sep.2004)
TCMAT4
HURRICANE IVAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092004
2100Z THU SEP 09 2004

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.

AT 5 PM...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE ENTIRE SOUTHWEST PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE BORDER OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WESTWARD...INCLUDING PORT AU PRINCE.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA TO PERDENALES. A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC FROM PALENQUE WESTWARD TO BARAHONA.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN CUBA FROM
MATANZAS EASTWARD.

INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE IVAN.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 72.5W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 921 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 75SE 60SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 140SE 140SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 72.5W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 72.0W

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 16.1N 74.2W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT...125NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 17.5N 76.2W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 75SE 60SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 18.8N 78.0W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 75SE 70SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 19.7N 79.3W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 75SE 60SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 21.5N 81.5W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 75SE 60SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 25.0N 83.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 28.0N 83.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 72.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z

FORECASTER AVILA