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Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued for area in the East-Central Atlantic, only with 10% chance for development, not expected to do much.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 238 (Idalia) , Major: 238 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 238 (Idalia) Major: 238 (Idalia)
 
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#827862 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:43 AM 14.Jan.2016)
TCMAT1

SUBTROPICAL STORM ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012016
0900 UTC THU JAN 14 2016

INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ALEX.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 29.3W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......120NE 130SE 100SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 150SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 29.3W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 29.6W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 32.4N 28.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 100SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 36.4N 27.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 190SE 120SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 42.0N 28.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...130NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...360NE 240SE 90SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 49.1N 29.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...240NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...360NE 240SE 90SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 60.0N 40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...240NE 0SE 0SW 150NW.
34 KT...420NE 360SE 120SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z...MERGED WITH EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.1N 29.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART