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Chill falls over the Atlantic as the official season heads towards close
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| #875751 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:55 PM 23.Sep.2016) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 39 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016 1100 PM AST FRI SEP 23 2016 ..CENTER OF KARL MOVING CLOSER TO BERMUDA... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.8N 65.1W ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM S OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case during the next 24 hours. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case during the next 12 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Karl was located near latitude 30.8 North, longitude 65.1 West. Karl is moving toward the north-northeast near 13 mph (20 km/h). A turn toward the northeast and a faster forward speed are expected later tonight, followed by acceleration toward the northeast on Saturday. On the forecast track, the center of Karl should pass near or southeast of Bermuda during the next 12 hours. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next 36 hours, and Karl is forecast to reach hurricane intensity on Saturday and then become post-tropical on Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.24 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are spreading across Bermuda and will continue through Saturday morning. Hurricane conditions are also possible on Bermuda tonight and early Saturday morning. RAINFALL: Karl is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 5 inches over Bermuda through Saturday. TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible on Bermuda overnight. SURF: Swells generated by Karl are affecting Bermuda and are expected to increase during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven |
