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| #876482 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:51 AM 01.Oct.2016) TCMAT4 HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 1500 UTC SAT OCT 01 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF HAITI FROM THE SOUTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS. THE GOVERNMENT OF COLOMBIA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THAT COUNTRY. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * JAMAICA * HAITI FROM THE SOUTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN HISPANIOLA AND EASTERN CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW. A HURRICANE WATCH COULD BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA LATER TODAY. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 73.4W AT 01/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 947 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 40SE 30SW 70NW. 34 KT.......180NE 60SE 50SW 170NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 90SE 270SW 330NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 73.4W AT 01/1500Z AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 73.1W FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 13.6N 73.9W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 70NW. 34 KT...170NE 70SE 50SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 14.5N 74.6W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 40SE 30SW 70NW. 34 KT...170NE 100SE 60SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 15.7N 75.2W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 65SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT...170NE 110SE 70SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 17.1N 75.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...170NE 130SE 80SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.5N 75.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 160SE 100SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 24.0N 76.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 26.5N 76.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 73.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
