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Chill falls over the Atlantic as the official season heads towards close
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| #878109 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 AM 15.Oct.2016) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 45 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 0900 UTC SAT OCT 15 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.1N 51.6W AT 15/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 978 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 90NE 120SE 150SW 150NW. 34 KT.......210NE 210SE 255SW 270NW. 12 FT SEAS..220NE 450SE 540SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.1N 51.6W AT 15/0900Z AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.9N 52.5W FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 38.7N 50.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW. 34 KT...240NE 240SE 270SW 270NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 38.8N 48.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 180NW. 34 KT...300NE 270SE 270SW 330NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 39.0N 47.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 50 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 180NW. 34 KT...330NE 300SE 300SW 360NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 39.5N 46.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW 100NW. 34 KT...240NE 300SE 330SW 270NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 44.0N 42.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT...120NE 140SE 120SW 60NW. 34 KT...300NE 300SE 270SW 270NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 54.5N 36.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 62.5N 32.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.1N 51.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
