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#8915 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:36 PM 16.Sep.2004)
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 59
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092004
0300Z FRI SEP 17 2004

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.3N 86.2W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.3N 86.2W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.8N 86.5W

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 35.2N 85.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 35.9N 83.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 36.0N 81.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 35.3N 81.0W...INLAND AND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 34.0N 83.0W...INLAND AND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z...INLAND AND DISSIPATED

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM

FORECASTER STEWART