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#897694 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:59 PM 07.Aug.2017)
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Franklin Intermediate Advisory Number 4A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072017
100 PM CDT Mon Aug 07 2017

...FRANKLIN EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN SOME MORE BEFORE LANDFALL...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 85.4W
ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM E OF BELIZE CITY
ABOUT 195 MI...310 KM E OF CHETUMAL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* The coast of Mexico from Chetumal to Punta Allen

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Belize City northward to the border of Mexico
* The coast of Mexico from Chetumal to Campeche

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* The coast of Mexico from Campeche to Sabancuy

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within
24 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.

Interests elsewhere around the Bay of Campeche should monitor the
progress of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Franklin was
located near latitude 18.0 North, longitude 85.4 West. Franklin is
moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue over the next 48 hours. On
the forecast track, the center of Franklin will be near the east
coast of the Yucatan peninsula by this evening. Franklin is then
expected to move across the Yucatan Peninsula tonight and on
Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher
gusts. Strengthening is forecast until the center reaches the east
coast of the Yucatan peninsula, and Franklin could be near hurricane
strength by the time landfall occurs this evening or tonight. Some
weakening is likely while the system moves across the Yucatan
Peninsula on Tuesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.

The minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Hurricane
Hunter aircraft is 999 mb (29.50 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches, with isolated amounts
of around 12 inches, are possible across the Yucatan Peninsula of
Mexico and Belize through Wednesday, with the highest amounts over
the Mexican state of Quintana Roo. These rains could produce
life-threatening flash floods.

WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible in the Hurricane Watch
area by this evening. Tropical storm conditions are expected to
begin in portions of the warning area this afternoon or evening.
Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area in Mexico
on Tuesday.

STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by
as much as 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate
coast near and to the north of where the center makes landfall.
Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch