|#897904 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:59 PM 09.Aug.2017)|
Tropical Storm Franklin Intermediate Advisory Number 12A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072017
100 PM CDT Wed Aug 09 2017
...FRANKLIN EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AS A HURRICANE TONIGHT...
SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM ENE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM N OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* The coast of Mexico from Puerto de Veracruz to Cabo Rojo
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* The coast of Mexico north of Cabo Rojo to Rio Panuco
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* The coast of Mexico east of Puerto de Veracruz to Puerto Dos Bocas
* The coast of Mexico north of Tuxpan to Barra del Tordo
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24 hours.
Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Franklin was
located near latitude 20.2 North, longitude 94.4 West. Franklin is
moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue for the next day or so. On the
forecast track, the center of Franklin is expected to approach the
coast of eastern Mexico today, then cross the coast in the Mexican
state of Veracruz tonight or early Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is expected, and Franklin is forecast to
become a hurricane later today and reach the coast of Mexico as a
hurricane tonight or early Thursday. Rapid weakening is expected
after landfall in Mexico.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.
The minimum central pressure estimated from Hurricane Hunter
aircraft observations is 984 mb (29.06 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
RAINFALL: Franklin is expected to produce additional rainfall
accumulations of 1 to 3 inches across portions of Belize and the
Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico through today. Rainfall totals of 4 to
8 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches are possible
across the Mexican states of Tabasco, northern Veracruz, northern
Puebla, Tlaxacala, Hidalgo, Queretar and eastern San Luis Potosi in
eastern Mexico. These rains will be capable of producing
life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.
WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to reach the coast within
the Hurricane Warning area by tonight. Winds are expected to first
reach tropical storm strength later today, making outside
preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.
Tropical storm conditions are expected across portions of the
Tropical Storm Warning area along the southern shore of the
Bay of Campeche through tonight. Hurricane conditions are
possible within the Hurricane Watch area tonight. Tropical storm
conditions are expected within the Tropical Storm Warning area in
eastern Mexico by this evening.
STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by
as much as 4 to 6 feet above normal tide levels along the
immediate coast near and to the north of where the center makes
landfall in the Hurricane Warning area. Near the coast, the
surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.