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Tracking a Caribbean Wave and keeping an eye on the potential for new Caribbean Gyre/Trough development next week
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 14 (Nate) , Major: 32 (Maria) Florida - Any: 42 (Irma) Major: 42 (Irma)
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#903323 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:43 AM 16.Sep.2017)
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017
1500 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 33.1W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 33.1W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 32.8W

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 12.4N 34.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 12.5N 35.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 12.9N 36.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 13.6N 38.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 15.6N 42.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 17.0N 46.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 18.0N 49.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 33.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG