|#903523 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:53 PM 17.Sep.2017)|
Hurricane Jose Advisory Number 51
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017
1100 PM EDT Sun Sep 17 2017
...JOSE MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD...
...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS EXPECTED ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
THE UNITED STATES...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM SE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 395 MI...640 KM W OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB...28.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Fenwick Island to Sandy Hook
* Delaware Bay South
* East Rockaway Inlet to Plymouth
* Block Island
* Martha`s Vineyard
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
Interests elsewhere along the U.S. east coast from North Carolina
northward to New England should monitor the progress of Jose.
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jose was located
near latitude 32.2 North, longitude 71.6 West. Jose is moving
toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this general motion is
expected to continue through Monday night. A turn toward the
north-northeast is expected on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the
center of Jose is forecast to pass well offshore of the Outer Banks
of North Carolina on Monday, and pass well east of the Delmarva
peninsula Monday night and Tuesday.
Reports from a NOAA and Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft
indicate that the maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h)
with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected during
the next day or so, and Jose is forecast to remain a hurricane
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles
The lastest minimum central pressure estimated from reconnaissance
data is 972 mb (28.71 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area by Tuesday.
SURF: Swells generated by Jose are affecting Bermuda, the Bahamas,
and much of the U.S. east coast. These swells are likely to cause
dangerous surf and rip current conditions for the next several
days in these areas. For more information, please consult products
from your local weather office.
RAINFALL...Jose is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3
to 5 inches over eastern Long Island, southern Rhode Island, and
southeast Massachusetts, including Martha`s Vineyard and Nantucket
through Wednesday. Jose is also expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 1 to 3 inches along the Mid Atlantic coast, and
from southeast New York to coastal Maine. This rainfall could cause
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.