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| #940622 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:51 PM 16.Sep.2018) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Florence Advisory Number 70 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL062018 500 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018 ...FLORENCE CONTINUES TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS OVER MUCH OF NORTH CAROLINA AND EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA. FLASH FLOODING AND CATASTROPHIC/HISTORIC RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE OVER A SIGNIFICANT PORTION OF THE CAROLINAS... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.6N 82.2W ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM SSE OF GREENVILLE SOUTH CAROLINA ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SSE OF ASHEVILLE NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Flash flood warnings are currently in effect across a large portion of southern and western North Carolina and portions of far northern South Carolina. Flash flood watches are in effect across much of North Carolina...northern South Carolina and portions of Western Virginia and Southern West Virginia. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Florence was located near latitude 34.6 North, longitude 82.2 West. The depression is moving toward the north near 14 mph (22 km/h) and this motion is expected to accelerate to the north today and tonight before turning eastward across Southern New England on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional weakening is expected over the next 24 hours before intensification begins on Tuesday as the system transitions into an extratropical low. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Florence is expected to produce heavy and excessive rainfall over the next couple of days. Portions of the Carolinas, Mid-Atlantic States, and Southern New England are expected to receive an additional 2 to 5 inches of rain...with isolated maximum of 8 inches possible. Storm total accumulations of up to... 40 inches in southern North Carolina 20 inches in northern South Carolina and western North Carolina... will produce catastrophic flash flooding and prolonged significant river flooding. An elevated risk for landslides exists in western North Carolina. Storm total accumulations up to... 15 inches in southwest Virginia and 5-10 inches in the remainder of the Mid-Atlantic and New England States will produce life-threatening flash flooding and significant river flooding. An elevated risk for landslides exists in southwest Virginia. For more information on rainfall totals please see the Storm Summary available at www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc4.html TORNADOES: A few tornadoes remain possible near the eastern border of the Carolinas into tonight. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Roth/Carbin |
