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#96L odds now down to just 10% per NHC, as upper-level winds and interaction with the Greater Antilles has been too much to handle
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 35 (Michael) , Major: 35 (Michael) Florida - Any: 35 (Michael) Major: 35 (Michael)
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#941437 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:39 PM 22.Sep.2018)
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Eleven Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112018
500 PM AST Sat Sep 22 2018

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW TONIGHT OR
SUNDAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.6N 53.9W
ABOUT 480 MI...770 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eleven
was located near latitude 13.6 North, longitude 53.9 West. The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h). A
faster west-northwestward motion is expected to begin tonight and
continue through dissipation.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
The depression is expected to weaken to a remnant low tonight or
Sunday and dissipate Sunday night east of the Lesser Antilles.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brennan