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#9596 (Received by flhurricane at: 6:40 PM 22.Sep.2004)
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 67
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092004
2300Z WED SEP 22 2004

AT 6 PM CDT...2300Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
A PORTION OF THE GULF OF MEXICO COAST FROM THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER LOUISIANA WESTWARD TO SARGENT TEXAS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 89.3W AT 22/2300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 0SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 89.3W AT 22/2300Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 88.8W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 27.5N 91.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 28.5N 93.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 25SW 25NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 30.0N 95.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 30.5N 95.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 31.0N 96.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N 89.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

FORECASTER AVILA