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System riding coast of South Carolina has a 20% chance for development, likely just rain though.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 36 (Barry) , Major: 312 (Michael) Florida - Any: 312 (Michael) Major: 312 (Michael)
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#975004 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:54 AM 16.Jul.2019)
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Barry Advisory Number 25
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL022019
1000 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2019

...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BARRY MOVING ACROSS MISSOURI...
...SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING ONGOING IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ARKANSAS...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.0N 91.3W
ABOUT 50 MI...75 KM WNW OF ST. LOUIS MISSOURI
ABOUT 170 MI...270 KM NE OF SPRINGFIELD MISSOURI
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...15 MPH...30 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
Flash Flood Watches are in effect from the ARKLATEX eastward
through the Lower and Middle Mississippi Valley.

Flash Flood Warnings are in effect for portions of southern
Arkansas.

Flood Warnings are in effect for portions of Louisiana, Arkansas,
and Mississippi.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Barry
was located near latitude 39.0 North, longitude 91.3 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 21 mph (33
km/h) and this motion is expected to continue today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 15 mph (30 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast today, and Barry is expected
to degenerate into an open wave or trough tonight.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Barry is expected to produce additional rain
accumulations of 1 to 3 inches from the Mid Mississippi Valley into
the Ohio Valley and eastern Great Lakes today and tonight. Isolated
maximum totals exceeding 5 inches are possible across northern
Mississippi.

Significant and life-threatening flash flooding is ongoing across
southern Arkansas from heavier rainfall earlier this morning. An
additional 1 to 2 inches of rain is possible in those areas into the
afternoon.

Rainfall has ended in Texas and Louisiana. Storm total amounts there
were generally between 3 and 6 inches, but with embedded swaths of
dramatically higher totals. One gauge measured 23.43 inches to the
north of Lake Charles, Louisiana, near Ragley.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Lamers