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| #979887 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:42 PM 28.Aug.2019) TCMAT5 HURRICANE DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 0300 UTC THU AUG 29 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 66.0W AT 29/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 40SE 10SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 45SE 30SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 66.0W AT 29/0300Z AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 65.7W FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.0N 67.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 22.9N 68.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 24.5N 69.9W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 25.7N 71.7W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 27.0N 75.8W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 27.8N 79.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 28.4N 81.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 66.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
