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Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued for area in the East-Central Atlantic, only with 10% chance for development, not expected to do much.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 238 (Idalia) , Major: 238 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 238 (Idalia) Major: 238 (Idalia)
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#980023 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:57 PM 29.Aug.2019)
TCMAT5

HURRICANE DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019
0300 UTC FRI AUG 30 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF DORIAN. WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS
AREA ON FRIDAY.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 68.4W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 70SE 30SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 75SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 68.4W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 68.0W

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 24.3N 69.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 25.4N 71.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 26.0N 73.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 26.3N 74.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 26.8N 77.9W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 27.0N 79.8W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 27.5N 81.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.3N 68.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE