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| #982362 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:54 AM 15.Sep.2019) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092019 1500 UTC SUN SEP 15 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 77.9W AT 15/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT.......100NE 140SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 30SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 77.9W AT 15/1500Z AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 77.8W FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 29.5N 77.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 130SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.0N 77.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 120SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 30.3N 75.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 30.7N 74.4W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 31.6N 69.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 120SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 34.5N 62.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 39.0N 57.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.9N 77.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
