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| #983861 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:45 AM 24.Sep.2019) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102019 1500 UTC TUE SEP 24 2019 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 69.3W AT 24/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT.......160NE 150SE 20SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 120SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 69.3W AT 24/1500Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 69.1W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 31.7N 68.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 20SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 32.6N 66.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 33.5N 64.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 20SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 34.2N 61.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 35.0N 57.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 34.5N 54.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.8N 69.3W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 24/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
