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Tracking a Caribbean Wave and keeping an eye on the potential for new Caribbean Gyre/Trough development next week
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 15 (Nate) , Major: 33 (Maria) Florida - Any: 43 (Irma) Major: 43 (Irma)
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#9843 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:46 AM 24.Sep.2004)
TCDAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN DISCUSSION NUMBER 73
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT FRI SEP 24 2004

RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT IVAN HAS MOVED
NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS PORT ARTHUR TEXAS WHILE IT CONTINUES TO
WEAKEN. THE CYCLONE SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND IS FORECAST TO
DISSIPATE BY 72 HR.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 305/7. STEERING CURRENTS ARE FORECAST TO
WEAKEN...AND MUCH OF THE GUIDANCE TURNS IVAN SOUTHWESTWARD BEFORE
DISSIPATION. THE FORECAST TRACK FOLLOWS THIS SCENARIO.

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON IVAN BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
SUBSEQUENT PUBLIC ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER.

FORECASTER BEVEN

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 24/0900Z 30.2N 94.4W 25 KT...INLAND
12HR VT 24/1800Z 30.4N 95.1W 20 KT...INLAND DISSIPATING
24HR VT 25/0600Z 30.1N 96.0W 20 KT...INLAND REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 25/1800Z 29.2N 96.7W 20 KT...INLAND REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 26/0600Z 28.0N 97.5W 20 KT...INLAND REMNANT LOW
72HR VT 27/0600Z...DISSIPATED