Latest CFHC News
The April season predictions are out,
Colorado State University with Bill Gray and Philip J. Klotzbach have released their 2013 April predictions that has totals of 18/9/4.
Which means 18 named storms, 9 hurricanes, and 4 major hurricanes, which is a highly active season. This year there is less to dispute that number than in the past 3 years or so and with over 7 years since a hurricane landfall in Florida, odds are higher than usual for something to occur. Still this is just the odds, and we may miss yet another year here in Florida.
The Weather Channel also issued its forecast for the season today : 16/9/5.
We at flhurricane agree that there is nothing concrete to dispute the numbers mentioned.
Analog years from Ed are 1996, 2001, 1981, 1984 and 1949. Colorado state suggested 1915, 1952, 1966, 1996, and most infamously (for Florida) 2004.
View Colorado State's full report at http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/forecasts/2013/apr2013/apr2013.pdf
The Atlantic Hurricane Season begins June 1st and lasts through November 30th. The Peak is Mid August through the end of October.
Colorado State University with Bill Gray and Philip J. Klotzbach have released their 2013 April predictions that has totals of 18/9/4.
Which means 18 named storms, 9 hurricanes, and 4 major hurricanes, which is a highly active season. This year there is less to dispute that number than in the past 3 years or so and with over 7 years since a hurricane landfall in Florida, odds are higher than usual for something to occur. Still this is just the odds, and we may miss yet another year here in Florida.
The Weather Channel also issued its forecast for the season today : 16/9/5.
We at flhurricane agree that there is nothing concrete to dispute the numbers mentioned.
Analog years from Ed are 1996, 2001, 1981, 1984 and 1949. Colorado state suggested 1915, 1952, 1966, 1996, and most infamously (for Florida) 2004.
View Colorado State's full report at http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/forecasts/2013/apr2013/apr2013.pdf
The Atlantic Hurricane Season begins June 1st and lasts through November 30th. The Peak is Mid August through the end of October.
The Atlantic hurricane season begins on June 1st, and 2012 went by as another year without (now 7 and counting) any landfalling hurricanes in Florida. Wilma in October 2005 was still the last hurricane to make landfall in Florida.
Odds were against Florida last year, and they are even moreso this year. I suspect this may be the year that the hurricane drought for Florida may end. But maybe the trend of no storms will continue.
This past year Isaac affected Louisiana and the northern Gulf coast, and Sandy (officially not a hurricane at landfall, but this site, in a rare move, maintains that it was) affected the northeast in a historic way.
This years storm names are: Andrea, Barry, Chantal, Dorian, Erin, Fernand, Gabrielle, Humberto, Ingrid, Jerry, Karen, Lorenzo, Melissa, Nestor, Olga, Pablo, Rebekah, Sebastien, Tanya, Van, Wendy
We'll be around again this year, with our typical approach to tracking storms without the need for hype.
Odds were against Florida last year, and they are even moreso this year. I suspect this may be the year that the hurricane drought for Florida may end. But maybe the trend of no storms will continue.
This past year Isaac affected Louisiana and the northern Gulf coast, and Sandy (officially not a hurricane at landfall, but this site, in a rare move, maintains that it was) affected the northeast in a historic way.
This years storm names are: Andrea, Barry, Chantal, Dorian, Erin, Fernand, Gabrielle, Humberto, Ingrid, Jerry, Karen, Lorenzo, Melissa, Nestor, Olga, Pablo, Rebekah, Sebastien, Tanya, Van, Wendy
We'll be around again this year, with our typical approach to tracking storms without the need for hype.
General Links
Skeetobite's storm track maps
NRL-Monterey (Nice Tracking Maps and Satellite)
USNO Information on Current Storms (including Google Earth KMZ Files)
Interactive Wundermap
GFDL
San Jose State Models and More
NOAA Historical Track Maps - Create your own tracking maps.
Check the Storm Forum from time to time for comments on any new developing system.
Follow worldwide SST evolution here: Global SST Animation - SST Forecast.
Storms From Previous Years (Unisys)
IR - Vis - WV - Loop - TWC IR - Color IR - Loop - SSTs - Buoy
NASA MSFC North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor
LSU Sat images, RAMSDIS Satellite Images (rapid-scan imagery)
Full Western Hemisphere Sat Animation
Buoy Data, Dvorak Estimates
Caribbean Weather Observations
Some forecast models:
NHC/TAFB Experimental Gridded Marine Forecast
Multiple model output from Ryan Maue (HWRF, GFDL, GFS, etc)
GFS, ECMWF (ECMWF) and ECMWF
FSU: CMC, GFDL, GFS, NOGAPS, HWRF; Phase Analysis
DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
GFS, RUC, ETA
FIM Model
Raleighwx model page, Instant Weather Maps Models
Other commentary from Robert Lightbown/Crown Weather Tropical Update, TropicalAtlantic, Hurricanetrack.com (Mark Sudduth), Eric Berger, HurricaneVille, Mike Watkins / HurricaneAnalytics.com , Hurricane City, mpittweather, WXRisk, Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, storm2k, Hardcoreweather, Suncam TV (Streaming Video/cams), Jeff Masters (Weather Underground) , StormPulse (Matthew Wensing), , Max Mayfield, Greg Nordstrom, Gulf Coast Weather, Hurricane Alley, American Weather - 28 Storms Ham Weather
NOAA Weather Radio
Even more on the links page.
Skeetobite's storm track maps
NRL-Monterey (Nice Tracking Maps and Satellite)
USNO Information on Current Storms (including Google Earth KMZ Files)
Interactive Wundermap
GFDL
San Jose State Models and More
NOAA Historical Track Maps - Create your own tracking maps.
Check the Storm Forum from time to time for comments on any new developing system.
Follow worldwide SST evolution here: Global SST Animation - SST Forecast.
Storms From Previous Years (Unisys)
IR - Vis - WV - Loop - TWC IR - Color IR - Loop - SSTs - Buoy
NASA MSFC North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor
LSU Sat images, RAMSDIS Satellite Images (rapid-scan imagery)
Full Western Hemisphere Sat Animation
Buoy Data, Dvorak Estimates
Caribbean Weather Observations
Some forecast models:
NHC/TAFB Experimental Gridded Marine Forecast
Multiple model output from Ryan Maue (HWRF, GFDL, GFS, etc)
GFS, ECMWF (ECMWF) and ECMWF
FSU: CMC, GFDL, GFS, NOGAPS, HWRF; Phase Analysis
DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
GFS, RUC, ETA
FIM Model
Raleighwx model page, Instant Weather Maps Models
Other commentary from Robert Lightbown/Crown Weather Tropical Update, TropicalAtlantic, Hurricanetrack.com (Mark Sudduth), Eric Berger, HurricaneVille, Mike Watkins / HurricaneAnalytics.com , Hurricane City, mpittweather, WXRisk, Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, storm2k, Hardcoreweather, Suncam TV (Streaming Video/cams), Jeff Masters (Weather Underground) , StormPulse (Matthew Wensing), , Max Mayfield, Greg Nordstrom, Gulf Coast Weather, Hurricane Alley, American Weather - 28 Storms Ham Weather
NOAA Weather Radio
Even more on the links page.

