AFDJAX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 955 AM EDT FRI JUL 29 2011 .SHORT TERM...SUNNY SKIES PREVAIL THIS MORNING WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF CU EVEN OVER THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. THIS IS THANKS TO THE LARGE UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE CAROLINAS AND THE DRIER AIR (PRECIP H2O OF 1.76) OVER THE AREA. SUBSIDENCE INVERSION STILL APPEARS FAIRLY WEAK ON 12Z KJAX SOUNDING...BUT TEMPS HAVE WARMED 1 TO 3 DEG C FROM 750MB TO 450MB OVER THIS TIME YESTERDAY. WILL STILL HAVE CAPES AROUND 3000 J/KG THIS AFTN...SO ISOLD SHOWERS OR TSTMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG SEABREEZES WITH LOW END SCATTERED POSSIBLE AT BOUNDARY COLLISIONS OVER THE INTERIOR. PRESENT POP DISTRIBUTION LOOKS TO BE ON TRACK. TEMPS WILL BE HOT AND HEAT INDICES WILL RISE JUST ABOVE 105. && .AVIATION...VFR EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF ANY TSTMS. WILL CONTINUE CB AT KGNV...ALTHO VCTS MAY BE NEEDED THERE ON THE 18Z UPDATE. && .MARINE...LOW WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. && .JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. GA...NONE. AM...NONE. && $$