AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
416 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2011

.DISCUSSION...
TONIGHT WILL BE A REPEAT OF THE LAST SEVERAL WEEKS WITH WARM OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES AND A GOOD RECOVER OF THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY. TOMORROW
WILL START OFF LIKE THE LAST SEVERAL WEEKS "ALSO" WITH SKIES
BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY AS TEMPERATURES CLIMB BACK INTO THE UPPER
80S TO LOWER 90S ON SOUTHERLY WINDS.

THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OUT TO THE WEST THIS AFTERNOON WERE
TRIGGERED BY THE DRY LINE WITH STORMS EXTENDING FROM DALLAS/FORT
WORTH SOUTH TO KERRVILE...IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. RADAR IS
INDICATING LIGHT RAIN OVER THE HOUSTON AREA BUT THIS IS MAINLY
VIRGA. THE DRY-LINE SHOULD RETREAT BACK TO THE WEST OVERNIGHT.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OUT OF NORTH TEXAS TOMORROW MORNING AND WILL MARRY
UP WITH THE DRY-LINE AND PUSH OFF TO THE EAST AND SOUTH. AS THIS HAPPENS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REDEVELOP AHEAD OF THIS BOUNDARY WITH
THE AREA MOVING EAST. THIS WILL GIVE US A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS LATE TOMORROW AFTERNOON. BUT RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE
TOMORROW EVENING INTO FRIDAY.

THIS LATEST FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROF FINALLY
MOVES OUT OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND INTO MO. NOT LOOKING FOR
MORE THAN MAYBE .50 OF AN INCH WITH THIS LATEST SYSTEM. THIS LOOKS
TO HAVE ONLY LIMITED POTENTIAL FOR PRODUCING SEVERE WEATHER WITH
THE MAIN THREAT...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. ANOTHER ISSUE IS
THAT WE WE ARE LOOSING ABOUT 1/4 OF AN INCH PER DAY TO EVAPORATION...
THEREFORE THIS DOES NOT LOOK TO BREAK THIS CONTINUING DROUGHT .
THE OTHER GOOD NEWS WILL BE TEMPERATURES...THEY ARE EXPECTED TO
MODERATE ON NORTHERLY WINDS. SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WILL BE PARTLY
CLOUDY WITH NO FURTHER RAINFALL EXPECTED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  71  86  70  86  64 /  10  20  50  50  20
KBPT  71  86  71  85  63 /  20  30  40  40  10
KAEX  69  89  69  85  61 /  10  30  40  50  30
KLFT  71  89  72  85  65 /  10  20  50  50  30

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$