AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
806 PM EST SAT FEB 4 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
A SURFACE HIGH CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. PLAINS SPRAWLS FROM
THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES TO NORTHEAST MEXICO. A LOW OVER THE OHIO
VALLEY TRAILS A COLD FRONT SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE WESTERN GULF.
A WEAK INVERTED TROUGH IS ACROSS THE YUCATAN AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
GULF WATERS. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ATLANTIC ALONG LATITUDE 30
RIDGES BACK WEST TO SOUTH GA/NORTH FL.

&&

.DISCUSSION (TONIGHT)...
THE ATLANTIC HIGH DOMINATES TONIGHT WITH LIGHT EAST AND SE WINDS AS
HIGH CLOUDINESS STREAMS ACROSS THE AREA. ENOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL BE IN PLACE...ALONG WITH THE LIGHT WINDS FOR SOME PATCHY LATE
NIGHT FOG DESPITE THE HIGH CLOUDS. TEMPERATURES AT 8 PM RANGED FROM
THE UPPER 60S TO THE LOWER 70S AND ARE ON TRACK TO REACH THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S FOR THE LOWS. NO UPDATES REQUIRED.

&&

.AVIATION...
SOME AREAS OF MVFR VISIBILITIES IN FOG/IFR CEILINGS WILL BE POSSIBLE
LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO PREVAIL WITH BROKEN TO OVERCAST MID AND HIGH CLOUDS AOA
FL130 WITH SOME LOWER CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS CEILINGS BETWEEN
FL030-050 THROUGH THE TAF FORECAST PERIOD. EAST WINDS AT 4-6 KNOTS
OVERNIGHT WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY MORNING THEN SHIFT WITH THE
BAY/SEA BREEZE DURING THE MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON HOURS NEAR THE COAST.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ATLANTIC WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT SOUTHWARD
TONIGHT WITH SE WINDS IN THE 5-10KT RANGE ON THE COASTAL WATERS.
CURRENT FORECAST IS ON TRACK WILL LITTLE CHANGE IN THE NEXT
ISSUANCE...OUT BY 10 PM.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.

&&

$$