CWFMOB) FOR 
FURTHER DETAILS. RIP CURRENT RISK WILL ALSO REMAIN MODERATE WITH THE 
STRONGER EASTERLY WINDS. ANOTHER ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURE DAY WITH 
HIGHS AROUND 90.

11/FAULKNER
&&

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...A FAIRLY COMPLICATED PATTERN 
SETS UP DURING THE LOW TERM PERIOD. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE 
NORTHEAST OF THE BAHAMAS IS FORECAST TO MOVE WESTWARD TODAY AND 
ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA ON TUESDAY. THE POSSIBILITY EXISTS THAT A LOW 
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL FORM ALONG THIS FEATURE...SOMEWHERE OVER THE 
CENTRAL OR EASTERN GULF BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...AS BOTH THE GFS 
AND NAM PRESENTLY INDICATE. HARD TO SAY AT THIS TIME IF THIS WOULD 
BE A PURELY TROPICAL FEATURE OR NOT. BUT ASSUMING THIS DEVELOPMENT 
DOES OCCUR...I WOULD BET ON IT BEING MORE OF A LATE SEASON HYBRID 
TYPE OF A DISTURBANCE...GIVEN THAT A LARGE RIDGE WITH A COOLER AND A 
DEEP LAYER DRIER AIRMASS WILL BE IN PLACE JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE 
SYSTEM. DEPENDING ON WHERE THIS SFC LOW DEVELOPS...AND HOW IT 
INTERACTS WITH AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT FROM THE NORTHWEST LATE IN 
THE WEEK...WILL DETERMINE ANY IMPACTS THIS WILL HAVE ON OUR LOCAL 
FORECAST. THIS WEATHER FEATURE LOOKS TO BE MOSTLY OF CONCERN TO 
MARINE INTERESTS AT THIS TIME. NONETHELESS...EXPECT INCREASED CLOUDS 
AND POPS ACROSS MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA MID TO LATE WEEK AS 
SQUEEZE PLAY BETWEEN FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND GULF SYSTEM BEGINS. IT  
APPEARS THAT THE FRONT WILL MOVE OFFSHORE BY THE LATER PART OF THE 
WEEKEND...MOST LIKELY LIFTING WHATEVER IT IS THAT DEVELOPS IN THE 
GULF TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN FLORIDA ON 
SUNDAY. AS THIS OCCURS...EXPECT POPS TO DECREASE FROM WEST TO EAST 
ACROSS FCST AREA LATE SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES LARGELY 
UNCHANGED FROM PREVIOUS FCST PACKAGE. 

12/SHEPHERD
&&   

.MARINE...PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS TIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE 
NOSING DOWN FROM THE NORTHEAST...TROPICAL STORM STAN BECOMING 
STRONGER WELL TO THE SOUTHWEST...AND THE ANTICIPATED SURFACE LOW 
TRYING TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE BAHAMAS AND SOUTH FLORIDA 
BY MIDDAY TUESDAY. WINDS WILL REMAIN MODERATE TO STRONG THROUGH MOST 
OF THE WEEK...MAINLY FROM EAST TO EAST NORTHEAST. SHOWERS...AND 
POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO WILL PASS FROM EAST TO WEST ACROSS 
THE MARINE AREA...WITH BETTER CHANCES OVER THE WATERS BEYOND 20 
NAUTICAL MILES OUT.  

11/FAULKNER
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...EXPECT NO SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER ISSUES AT THIS 
TIME.

12/SHEPHERD
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      89  70  88  69 /  20  10  10  10 
PENSACOLA   89  72  86  70 /  20  10  10  20 
DESTIN      88  73  86  74 /  20  10  10  20 
EVERGREEN   88  66  86  67 /  10  10  10  20 
WAYNESBORO  89  65  89  67 /  10  10  10  10 
CAMDEN      88  66  87  67 /  10  10  10  10 

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY GMZ650-670.
     COASTAL FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.
FL...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY GMZ655-675.
     COASTAL FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.
MS...NONE.

&&