PLEASE SEE THE BHMNPWMOB PRODUCT.  A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA.  FOR THE LATEST PLEASE
SEE SEE THE PRODUCT BHMFFAMOB.

A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MOST OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA UNTIL 1100 PM THIS EVENING.  BALDWIN...MOBILE AND
WASHINGTON COUNTIES OF ALABAMA AS WELL AS INLAND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...ARE NOT...IN THE TORNADO WATCH.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 415 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR 31.1 NORTH LATITUDE AND 87.5 WEST LONGITUDE...OR JUST SOUTHWEST
OF URIAH ALABAMA.  DENNIS WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 21
MPH.  ESTIMATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED ONE MINUTE AVERAGE WIND SPEEDS ARE
NOW BETWEEN 75 AND 95 MPH WITH WINDS GUSTS AS HIGH AS 105 MPH.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
AT THIS TIME...THE STORM HAS MADE LANDFALL.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
THE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE IS STILL FALLING BETWEEN MOBILE AND
DESTIN. SURFACE WINDS ALONG THE COAST ARE BECOMING MORE WESTERLY
SINCE 4 PM CDT.  THIS WILL ALLOW A SLOW FALL OF STORM SURGE...
ESPECIALLY OVER ESCAMBIA BAY...INCLUDING EAST BAY.  AREA TIDE
GAUGES AT 6 PM CDT SHOW 3.8 FEET AT DESTIN EAST PASS...3.5 FEET AT
PERDIDO PASS...4.1 FEET AT SANTA ROSA SOUND...0.2 FEET AT MOBILE
STATE DOCKS AND 1.3 FEET AT DAUPHIN ISLAND.

...WIND IMPACTS...
THROUGH 730 PM CDT...HURRICANE DENNIS WILL CONTINUE MOVING TO THE
NORTHWEST ACROSS ESCAMBIA...NORTHERN BALDWIN...SOUTHERN MONROE...
CLARKE AND EASTERN WASHINGTON COUNTIES OF SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA.
SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 75 AND 95 MPH...WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS
WILL BE QUITE COMMON NEAR THE STORM CENTER...ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE
INTENSE EYEWALL CONVECTION.  INLAND WIND DAMAGE WILL BE SIMILAR IN
MAGNITUDE TO HURRICANE IVAN ALONG THE PATH OF DENNIS.

...RIP CURRENTS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS...
STAY OUT OF THE WATER.  HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL PRECLUDE
RECREATIONAL BEACH ACTIVITY THROUGH MONDAY.  DO NOT GO BACK INTO THE
WATER TONIGHT OR ON MONDAY!  RESIDUAL RIP CURRENTS WILL REMAIN.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED DOWNWARD SLIGHTLY DUE
TO A FASTER FORWARD MOTION FROM DENNIS.  WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS
OF BETWEEN 5 AND 7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AS HIGH
AS 10 INCHES. THROUGH 730 PM CDT...HOURLY RAINFALL RATES WILL RANGE
BETWEEN 3 AND 4 INCHES PER HOUR IN THE MOST INTENSE CONVECTION
SURROUNDING DENNIS.  OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS...A GENERAL 3 TO 4
INCHES HAS FALLEN OVER A LARGE PORTION OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE
NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE.  THUS...GROUND CONDITIONS ARE SATURATED
AND RAINFALL RUNOFF WILL BE RAPID...ESPECIALLY NEAR RURAL CREEKS AND
STREAMS AND OVER URBAN CONCRETE SURFACES.  IF FLOODING IS ENCOUNTERED
WHILE DRIVING...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN.

LATEST RAINFALL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT RIVER FLOODING COULD BE WORSE
THAN IVAN OF 2004...BUT NOT AS SEVERE AS HURRICANE GEORGES OF 1998.
AREA RIVERS WILL GO INTO FLOOD SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...AND WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE TO REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGHOUT THE UPCOMING
MIDWEEK.  THE RIVER FLOODING IS HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE EXACT TRACK
OF DENNIS.

...TORNADO THREAT...THE TORNADO THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE
CONCENTRATED AROUND THE EYE AS IT MOVES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN
ALABAMA. THE LATEST RADAR OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT ADDITIONAL
TORNADO WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED.

...NEWEST INFORMATION...
THROUGH 730 PM CDT...CHRYSLER...CHOCTAW BLUFF...JACKSON...COFFEEVILLE
AND WEST BEND WILL REMAIN IN THE PATH OF DENNIS' EYE.  WIDESPREAD
TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY ALONG THIS PATH.

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS WILL BE PREPARED EVERY ONE TO TWO HOURS
AND WILL REFLECT THE LATEST RADAR TRENDS OF THE SHORT-TERM MOVEMENT
OF DENNIS. THIS PRODUCT WILL BE SHORTENED TO REFLECT AND FOCUS ON THE
MOST IMPORTANT INFORMATION AS DENNIS EVOLVES.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND
730 PM CDT.

$$

MEDLIN