NPWPHI. AN SPS WILL BE REFRSHED TO HIGHLIGHT THE HEAT IN OTHER AREAS. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/... THE VERY HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE EXTENDED PERIOD. THE DOMINANT FEATURE NEXT WEEK IS THE H5 RIDGE SLOWLY CROSSING THE COUNTRY AND THE STORM TRACK REMAINING TO OUR NORTH. THE HPC FORECASTERS HAVE USED THE ECMWF PROGS OUT TO DAY 5 TIME FRAME AND THEN CHOSE TO BLEND THE ECMWF WITH THE GFS ENSEMBLE MEANS FOR DAYS 6 AND 7. THIS BLENDING WAS TO DIMINISH THE AMPLIFICATION SEEN IN THE LATER PERIODS OF THE ECMWF. FOLLOWING THESE PROGS, I HAVE LEFT THE CHC FOR AFTERNOON SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM IN FOR TUESDAY AS THERE IS A HINT OF A WEAKNESS IN THE NW FLOW MOVING TO THE NORTH. THE NEXT CHC FOR ANY RAIN WOULD BE IN THE WED NIGHT INTO THU TIME FRAME WHEN ANOTHER FRONT TRIES TO MOVE IN FROM THE NORTH. I HAVE USED SLIGHT CHC POPS FOR NOW. && .AVIATION... AFTER THE AFTERNOON CU, WE BRING IN SOME CIRRUS OVERNIGHT AND A SHORT WINDOW OF MVFR VSBYS IN BR. THEN, THROUGH THE LATTER PART OF THE TAF PERIOD, WE BRING IN SOME MID CLOUDS AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING IMPULSE. WINDS LIGHT THROUGH THE PERIOD. && .MARINE... WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SCA CRITERION THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. EVENTUALLY WE MAY BE DEALING WITH FOG OVER THE WATERS IF THE DWPTS CLIMB HIGH ENOUGH AND WATER TEMPS DO NOT RISE SOME, BUT WE ARE NOT FORECASTING THAT FOR NOW. && .CLIMATE... FOR THOSE WHO LIKE THE HOT AND HUMID WEATHER, IT LOOKS TO BE GO TIME THIS WEEKEND AND ESPECIALLY NEXT WEEK. AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF EXCESSIVE HEAT IS EXPECTED TO START THIS WEEKEND, WITH IT PEAKING DURING EARLY NEXT WEEK. WITH THE ANTICIPATED HOT AIRMASS TO BECOME MORE ESTABLISHED, WE WENT BACK INTO THE CLIMATE RECORDS TO TALLY UP THE RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES. RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES TO BEAT... LOCATION SUNDAY MONDAY TUESDAY -------- ------ ------ ------- PHILADELPHIA 102 IN 1988 102 IN 1988 99 IN 1953 WILMINGTON 100 IN 1983 100 IN 1988 100 IN 1953 ALLENTOWN 101 IN 1988 99 IN 1999 98 IN 1999 READING 102 IN 1988 101 IN 1900 98 IN 1999 MOUNT POCONO 93 IN 1988 91 IN 1999 92 IN 1999 TRENTON 102 IN 1988 100 IN 1988 100 IN 1953 ATLANTIC CITY 100 IN 1983 99 IN 1955 97 IN 1953 GEORGETOWN 97 IN 1992 98 IN 1988 100 IN 1953 RUNNING THROUGH THE NUMBERS, WE WENT AHEAD AND FOUND THE LAST DATE WHEN THE TEMPERATURE HIT 100 DEGREES OR HIGHER. THESE ARE AS FOLLOWS: PHILADELPHIA...AUGUST 9, 2001 (101 DEGREES). WILMINGTON.....JULY 19, 1999 (100 DEGREES). ALLENTOWN......JULY 6, 1999 (100 DEGREES). READING........AUGUST 14, 2002 (100 DEGREES). TRENTON........AUGUST 2, 2001 (100 DEGREES). ATLANTIC CITY..AUGUST 8, 2001 (100 DEGREES). GEORGETOWN.....AUGUST 13, 2002 (100 DEGREES). && .PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PA...EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH FOR PAZ067>071 FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 9 PM TUESDAY. NJ...EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH FOR NJZ015-017>019-027 FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 9 PM TUESDAY. DE...EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH FOR DEZ001 FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 9 PM TUESDAY. MD...NONE. MARINE...NONE. &&