ZFPHGX. NEXT SHIFT WILL HAVE TO TAKE A CLOSE LOOK AT DEVELOPING
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY EAST OF CWFA AND SEE HOW IT WILL EVOLVE
(ORGANIZATION). CURRENTLY...CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE MOVING
BRISKLY TO THE WEST. AS MENTIONED EARLIER PW VALUES WILL BE QUITE
HIGH IF GFS IS CORRECT WITH SOUNDINGS INDICATING ABOUT 2.3 INCHES
IAH AREA LATE TOMORROW AND ON MONDAY. GRADUALLY IMPROVING
CONDITIONS EXPECTED AFTER MONDAY AS UPPER RIDGE REASSERTS ITSELF.
TUESDAY THROUGH REMAINDER OF COMING WEEK SHOULD JUST SEE MAINLY
SEABREEZE INDUCED CONVECTION. MAX TEMPERATURES WILL GO TO NEAR OR
SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL NORMAL VALUES. 37

AVIATION...
SEABREEZE TSTMS SHOULD DIE OFF WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING EARLY THIS 
EVENING. HOWEVER...WILL BE WATCHING SOUTH CENTRAL AND EASTERN 
LOUISIANA FOR A POSSIBLE TSTM COMPLEX TO DEVELOP LATER THIS AFTN. 
IF IT DOES (AND SAT PIX AND GFS MODEL CURRENTLY SUPPORT THIS) EXPECT 
THIS PRECIPITATION TO MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE COAST AND BE IN THE 
VICINITY OF THE HOUSTON/GALVESTON AREA TERMINALS AROUND MIDNIGHT. 
THREW IN SOME VCSH'S IN THE 18Z TAFS TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS AND WILL 
EVENTUALLY AMEND TO INSERT A PREVAILING OR TEMPO GROUP ONCE TIMING 
BECOMES BETTER ESTABLISHED. REMNANTS OF THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD BE SW 
OF THE MAIN TERMINALS BY SUNRISE BUT COULD STILL SEE SOME SCT SHRA 
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MAIN UPPER LOW (CURRENTLY SEEN OFFSHORE NEW 
ORLEANS AND MOVING WEST) THROUGH THE DAY SUN.  47  

MARINE...
LIGHT WINDS AND LOW SEAS WILL PREVAIL FOR THE FEW DAYS WITH A WEAK 
PRESSURE GRADIENT IN PLACE BUT WILL NEED TO WATCH FOR INCREASING 
SHRA/TSTM COVERAGE WITH THE UPPER LOW DESCRIBED ABOVE MOVING INTO 
THE AREA. NEXT DILEMMA IS TRYING TO NARROW DOWN THE AFFECTS THAT THE 
SFC TROF (PREVIOUSLY CHRIS) WILL HAVE ON THE WINDS/SEAS THRU 
MIDWEEK. NMM & NOGAPS BOTH WANT TO RESTRENGTHEN THE SYSTEM AND CLOSE 
OFF A LLVL CIRCULATION AS IT MOVES OFF THE CUBAN COAST AND INTO THE 
GULF. GFS/ECMWF ON THE OTHER HAND KEEPS IT AS AN INVERTED 
TROF/EASTERLY WAVE AS IT MOVES WESTWARD INTO MEXICO TOWARD MIDWEEK. 
ONE WAY OR ANOTHER...GIVEN THE FCST THE 25-30KT E WINDS ALOFT THIS 
SYSTEM WILL LIKELY HAVE A TOUGH TIME GETTING VERY ORGANIZED/STRONG. 
WILL FCST A SLIGHT INCREASE IN WINDS/SEAS BEGINNING ON TUES THOUGH 
AS GRADIENT TIGHTENS IN RESPONSE TO HIGH PRES NORTH OF TROF/WAVE IN 
THE GULF AND A DECENT EASTERLY FETCH DEVELOPS IN BETWEEN THE TWO. 
HIGHEST SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BEYOND 60 NM AND HEAD TOWARD THE 
MID/LOWER TX COAST.  47
&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&