Isaac, Joyce, Caribbean
11:08 PM EDT - 27 September 2000

Tonight, after letting everything gel, we can finally see that Hurricane Isaac has once again strengthened into a major hurricane. Isaac has a very impressive Eye at the moment. The future still finds it a fish spinner, but worth checking out on the loops.

Joyce is a much more compact system and is really prone to rapid strengthening and weakening. It's moving generally toward the west, and some models nudge it a bit southwest for a bit before eventually turning back toward the Northwest. The northeast Caribbean islands will want to watch it. My guestimate still places it near the NW Caribbean islands late weekend. I must note that I do not think it will enter the Caribbean. I wish to note that it is not impossible for it to enter the Caribbean, either. Another possibility is that it gets sheared a bit and stays weak.

The system in the West Caribbean is slowly coming together. I think it has a chance to be another rain event for Florida. It could become a depression tomorrow or the next day. Otherwise, I cannot see it gaining enough strength to become too big a threat. Regardless, the "Tropical Apathy" of the last two storms shouldn't be a factor. Things could change. The remains of Helene, in fact, caused some flooding in Great Britain.

For the moment, Joyce remains the most interesting feature, followed by the Caribbean. For sheer appearance, Isaac also gets high marks.

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