 March |
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On the 13th of March Jim Williams and Barometer Bob will be doing an audio broadcast on the 10th anniversary of the 1993 Storm of the Century. Check it out. - [jc] |
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Tropical Storms, Worldwide
(#1) Posted by: John Location: South Florida Posted On 09:56AM 24-Feb-2002 with id (QURNQVSNRPTNVW*) |
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No current tropical cyclone (last update 2002-02-24 12:16 UT)
(Click here) http://www.solar.ifa.hawaii.edu/Tropical/tropical.html |
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16p
(#2) Posted by: Rich Byett (http://www.stormwarn2000.com) Location: Gloucester, England, UK Posted On 05:36PM 24-Feb-2002 with id (RQSNQRRNVUNQTX*) |
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TC 16p is now developed, and located in the southwest Pacific... the link in the above post will take you to the relevant tracking chart.
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Glad the site is back up.
(#3) Posted by: Kevin Location: Orlando, Florida Posted On 05:46PM 24-Feb-2002 with id (QVXNQYQNXRNRTY*) |
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I hope everything goes smoothly as far getting the site back up goes. Looks like the last REALLY cold cold snap is about to materialize in the middle of this week. After that, I believe it's time for spring. I am still monitoring the Atlantic basin and El Nino. I still haven't changed my thoughts about 2002. Should be a season we'll all remember as a destructive (sorta like 1999 perhaps). I look forward to Dr. Gray's second forecast. (5th of April)
Take care, Kevin |
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prog
(#4) Posted by: HankFrank Location: Tallahassee, FL Posted On 11:16PM 24-Feb-2002 with id (QRXNQXVNQRSNQYS*) |
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i was sort of hoping that once this big polar high came down that a southern stream low would give the interior south another snowstorm at the end of the week.. looks less likely than it did a couple days ago. such is life. not so keen on the 'la nina is back' announcement on the last post topic. it has been going away since december. we're still in neutral country, but tipping more to the el nino side. really, go look at the fnmoc otis map that is updated every twelve hours. more warm sst anomalies west of peru as time goes by.
today is an anniversary.. not so much a weather one.. well.. eleven years ago the ground war started in the persian gulf. dad says it was cold and stormy after things kicked off, more so than during any other point in the deployment. big sandstorm and all, cold rain in the desert. guess i'd better call him tomorrow, i know he's thinking about it. later y'all. |
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Cold Blast!
(#5) Posted by: Joe Location: St.Petersburg, FL Posted On 03:09PM 25-Feb-2002 with id (VVNQYNWVNRPP*) |
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Looking over new guidence shows a very cold Thursday morning over FL. Guidence has N FL 10 to 20 F...Cent 20s and 30s...S FL 40s. This looks like it may be the coldest temps so far this season. So late season freeze is on the way!
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A MAYBE on the Cold
(#6) Posted by: Steve H. Posted On 04:40PM 25-Feb-2002 with id (QUUNQPTNRSYNQV*) |
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Actually I should retract that. Florida could end up colder than some places in the Northeast due to an intense low that some models (UKMET) send into the Great Lakes/western NY. That would keep them on the warm side in the big cities while the front plows through dixie. Jury still out as again model confusion reigns on next weekend's system. BTW, you folks see the storm that went through Florida and is now in the Sargasso sea heading NE?? Looks almost warm core!!! I had some wind damage here in Palm Bay Saturday nite. Some of my fencing got torn loose. That was interesting. Cheers!!
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chilldown
(#7) Posted by: HankFrank Location: Tallahassee, FL Posted On 05:00PM 26-Feb-2002 with id (QRXNQXVNQRSNQYS*) |
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thursday morning should be record cold here, mid to upper teens. of course by the weekend we should be seasonable again. big cold shot but no storm here. kind of anticlimatic, really.
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Cold Weather
(#8) Posted by: Colleen Location: Lakeland Posted On 09:51AM 27-Feb-2002 with id (VTNQRNQPTNTQ*) |
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Brrrrrrr is on the way...heard on WFLA radio today that it has not been this cold this time in February since 1989. I have a feeling that it is going to be much different in the tropics this year than the last 2-3 years.
Just a hunch, ya know. Anyway, in the meantime...keep warm!!!! Colleen :-) |
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Hey Colleen
(#9) Posted by: Steve H. Location: palm bay, FL Posted On 11:02AM 27-Feb-2002 with id (QUUNQPTNRSYNQV*) |
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Bet yer boots it is!!! I forgot my jacket today too! Temp dropped 10 degrees in the last hour here in South Brevard County. The tropics should be hot though. Talk to ya soon! Cheers!!q
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Tropics and cold/extreme weather
(#10) Posted by: Bill Location: TLH Posted On 11:32AM 27-Feb-2002 with id (RPTNQQPNRQRNXR*) |
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Hi Colleen and all-
actually, there is an 'inverse correlation' between episodes of cold weather, especially later in the winter/early spring and tropical activity. There are certain parameters that if exceeded go one way or the other...but, in general, the later/stronger/severe outbreaks seem to be paired with early season activity and stronger/more active seasons. The atmosphere is a big heat engine that is always trying to balance out! IHS, Bill |
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Tropics and cold/extreme weather
(#11) Posted by: Bill Location: TLH Posted On 11:32AM 27-Feb-2002 with id (RPTNQQPNRQRNXR*) |
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Hi Colleen and all-
actually, there is an 'inverse correlation' between episodes of cold weather, especially later in the winter/early spring and tropical activity. There are certain parameters that if exceeded go one way or the other...but, in general, the later/stronger/severe outbreaks seem to be paired with early season activity and stronger/more active seasons. The atmosphere is a big heat engine that is always trying to balance out! IHS, Bill |
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I agree Bill.
(#12) Posted by: Kevin Location: Orlando, Florida Posted On 04:06PM 27-Feb-2002 with id (QVXNQYQNXRNWR*) |
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The highly linked global pattern of weather is all about balance. I will reiterate this again...there has been a lack of cooling in the tropics this year. This along with favorable upper level patterns should bring a rather nasty hurricane season. This won't be a year with a bunch of fishes either...Azores High looks to be setting up quite nicely this year. But first, we must get through these "polar" next few days.
Take care, Kevin |
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march first
(#13) Posted by: HankFrank Location: Tallahassee, FL Posted On 12:16AM 01-Mar-2002 with id (QRXNQXVNQRSNQYS*) |
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freezing cold beginning to the first month of climatologic northern spring. i'm wondering if this year we will get a may tropical system.. something that hasn't happened since 1993 (t.d. on the last day of the month, excluding the subtropical storm that began organizing on 31may1997). we havent had a named tropical cyclone in may since 1981, quite a bit longer than records indicate as normal. since we are entering weak el nino mode, an early onset to the season is more likely.. of course the official season is still a whole three months away. but how far in the future will arthur be? hmmm...
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Bull had 14 children.
(#14) Posted by: John Location: South Florida Posted On 06:32PM 01-Mar-2002 with id (VTNQRNQPRNTW*) |
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Borley Rectory was built by Rev. Henry Bull, and was destroyed by fire in 1939.
(Click here) http://www.borleyrectory.com Borley Recory mean haunted house. |
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2002 hurricane season
(#15) Posted by: John Location: South Florida Posted On 08:53AM 02-Mar-2002 with id (VTNQRNQPRNUT*) |
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Atlantic hurricane seasons on the record !!!
1912- Titanic 1914- 0 hurricanes 1925- 1 hurricane 1982- 2 hurricanes 1994- 3 hurricanes 2002- 4 hurricanes or more If we see 4 hurricanes or more in Atlantic basin this year then Bull was real too!!! |
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Dr. Gray said
(#16) Posted by: John Location: South Florida Posted On 02:52PM 02-Mar-2002 with id (VTNQRNQPRNSV*) |
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Hurricane activity has been on the rise since the 1995 season, Gray said.
(Click here)http://www.usatoday.com/hurricane/stories/2001/2001-12-07-gray-2002-forecast.htm |
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Sorry, Try again
(#17) Posted by: John Location: South Florida Posted On 03:02PM 02-Mar-2002 with id (VTNQRNQPRNSV*) |
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Hurricane activity has been on the rise since the 1995, Gray said.
(Click here)http://www.usatoday.com/weather/hurricane/stories/2001/2001-12-07-gray-2002-forecast.htm |
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Bull's haunted house
(#18) Posted by: John Location: South Florida Posted On 02:00PM 03-Mar-2002 with id (RPYNRTPNRRRNQSQ*) |
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Bull had about 30 cats! WOW
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ENSO starting to develop a little quicker...at least it seems.
(#19) Posted by: Kevin Location: Orlando, Florida Posted On 02:26PM 03-Mar-2002 with id (QVXNQYQNXRNQXS*) |
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The anomalies off of the South American coast are starting to get warmer...lots of yellow. It's also in the form of a "tongue", what an El Nino's signature should look like. It will be a slow process, though. Still I think it will have little affect on hurricane season. March 20th is near, and that's when sun comes above equator. SSTA's are warm now you think...well wait till then. Waters will really start to boil then. Look for more warming off of the U.S. coast, too. QBO winds are averaging neutral to slightly easterly, expect those to go westerly soon.
Regards, *Kevin* |
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cut off
(#20) Posted by: HankFrank Location: Tallahassee, FL Posted On 03:36PM 03-Mar-2002 with id (QRXNQXVNQRSNQYS*) |
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nice cut off low out in the central atlantic spinning up, some convection. medium range models have a bevy of these features rolling along underneath the big ridge out in the atlantic.. sort of thing that would perk interest in november or may, but just an interesting maritime feature in march. also of note: eastern ridge should warm things up by late week, but still pointing to more arctic air spilling down in the long range.. what was it that punxsatawney phil said back in feb?
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Hi All!!
(#21) Posted by: TropicalWxWatcher Posted On 09:35PM 03-Mar-2002 with id (VVNQUWNWQNWQ*) |
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This is my first time posting here at CFHC. I just finished reading some of yall's posts and they were qiuet interesting. I will start posting more often as the season approaches! One question... does anyone chat in the chat room?
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