2001, Month 2
04:44 AM EDT - 01 July 2001

June 2001 will be remembered for Allison, a very destructive, but never strong wind-wise, Tropical Storm. This was the only tropical even in June, and the first part at that. Only classified as a tropical system for a very short amount of time, it managed to slide into the Northeastern Texas coast and presume to dump unbelievable amount of rain at and around this area and up and along nearly every state from Texas to Maine. It caused roughly two billion in damage estimates along the way and too many flood related deaths all for a rather weak system. I’m unsure if the name will be retired (since it was only a Tropical Storm), but this brings the case for a change in the manner in which it is done if not.

July is up next, and it appears the first week will be slow, and it may not pick up until later in the month. July is still not the peak for hurricane activity, as that begins in mid-August. For sure, many factors will continue to inhibit things forming along the cape Verde route for another few weeks at least. The activity won’t begin in earnest until past mid-August. Between now and then we may get one or two systems still pop up. But don’t look for them to the east of the Caribbean. Water temperatures aren’t there yet and it’s too hostile at the moment. If anything happens it would be near the east coast, in the Gulf or Caribbean.

The wave from a few days ago was a bust, Florida received very little rain from the system, and it moved into the Gulf. Nothing will come of it, I think.

Everyone enjoy the holiday this week, and keep watching the tropics.




NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:
[NAtl visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [NAtl infrared] (infrared), and [NAtl water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.
Defiant Visible Infrared More...
Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
AVN, ECMWF, GFDL, NOGAPS, UKMET

- [mac]