CFHC Talkback For News Story #61:
Newest Talkback: 05:18 AM 08-21 EDT

Tropical Storm Cindy Forms in East Atlantic
04:49 PM EDT - 20 August 1999

Minor Update 8:45PM - Bret's pressure has dropped 9mbs! As a precaution, the Galveston and Corpus Christi, TX areas have been added to the pop-up list for storm advisories (if they are issued they will show up).

The 3rd storm of the season has formed from TD#4 is the east Atlantic. The main story right now, however is Bret, as now Hurricane Watches are up for some portions of the east coast of Mexico.

Bret continues its northward movement. And strengthening to Hurricane is likely tonight.

For more information on Cindy see the Current Storm Spotlight for Cindy.
For more information on BRET see the Current Storm Spotlight for Bret.
Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
Weather Channel Caribbean Sat Image
Intellicast Caribbean IR Loop
Intellicast Atlantic IR Loop

More Sat images: [N.A. visible] (visible) [N.A. infrared] (infrared), and [N.A. water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.


- [jc]

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Displaying Talkbacks #1 - #3 (of 3 total)
Bret Pressure Drop (#1)
Posted by: Ed Grannis Location: Corpus Christi, TX
Posted On 08:15PM 20-Aug-1999 with id (RPXNQTNSXNYU*)

A drop of pressure from 992 to 983 and no increase in strength? Can someone tell me what's up with this? This isn't looking good for Texas.

Ed.
Re: Bret Pressure (#2)
Posted by: Mike Cornelius [CFHC] (http://www.flhurricane.com) Location: New Smyrna Beach, FL
Posted On 10:02PM 20-Aug-1999 with id (RPXNQTNSXNYU*)

I'll take a stab at that. Mainly it has to do with the pressure gradient surrounding the system. Ie, Andrew had a pressure of around 1014mb while it was a tropical storm. Of course it changed rapidly, but even at that high a pressure the surrounding enviroment made it possible. The NHC just has determined that the gradient isn't large enough for the 75MPH winds.

I will say that I'll be surprised if they don't upgrade it to a Hurricane at the 11PM Advisory.
bret (#3)
Posted by: chris biby
Posted On 01:18AM 21-Aug-1999 with id (RPXNQVUNQYYNXX*)

i am very suprised that the nhc hasn't put up a hurricane watch at least up to and including Brownsville. This storm will need to start it's northwest turn immediately for south texas to out of harms way.

Also, i look for furher intensification. i see now reason why this hurricane doesn't reach the 100-120 mph range by landfall.

lets hear your comments
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