CFHC Talkback For News Story #88:
Newest Talkback: 02:44 PM 09-01 EDT

Tropical Storm Dennis Fighting... and More
06:14 AM EDT - 01 September 1999

Dennis was downgraded to a Tropical Storm overnight due to the fact it has hardly any convection around it, and the fact that it is almost a hybrid extratropical storm right now. It's in a very odd state because it's on the margins for both, and could reform into a Hurricane if it works down south more. Convection around the eye is not there, but it consistantly tries to form something on the north eye and the temperatures in the core are slightly warmer than the rest, so Dennis can not be declassified as Tropical System yet. It may teeter on this hybrid state for a while, and depending on where it meanders could reintensify. That will take a while, but Dennis seems to want to take a while. Models are all over the place, but tend to agree with a general slow West and West Southwest motion. A more southerly direction would cause it to go against the Gulf Stream, which would mean more warm water for it as it would be replinished faster.

It's hybrid ness is causing the windfield to expand as well, which makes being on the outer banks this week not so nice. It'll be around in one form or another through the weekend. The models that predict a more southerly motion bring it in towards the SC coast, and before anyone asks, returning to Florida looks extremely unlikely.

Otherwise, Cindy is now extratropical and going away. Two waves worth talking about. One in the Southeast Gulf of Mexico that may or may not do something in a few days, and the wave that we talked about yesterday, which is looking bad this morning. It probably won't even form now.

So currently, Dennis lingers around to be the only story at the moment.

For more information on Dennis see the Current Storm Spotlight for Dennis.
Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
Weather Channel Caribbean Sat Image
Intellicast Caribbean IR Loop
Intellicast Atlantic IR Loop

More Sat images: [N.A. visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [N.A. infrared] (infrared), and [N.A. water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.


- [jc]

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Displaying Talkbacks #1 - #5 (of 5 total)
TS Dennis Fighting and more (#1)
Posted by: Jan Sterling Location: Rome, NY
Posted On 01:53PM 01-Sep-1999 with id (QRXNQSRNQYRNQSP*)

I'm confused with the first sentence..specifically "hardly no". It implies there is convection but you are trying to say there is little, if any, convection. I think you want to say "hardly any".
Correct
wave in Gulf (#2)
Posted by: Rick Shade Location: Mobile, Al
Posted On 03:55PM 01-Sep-1999 with id (RPYNQPRNQXYNQY*)

The tropical wave in the Gulf of Mexico bears watching. I haven't heard anything but sketchy references to it, but in the last 6 hours or so it looks like it is stationary, and is starting to organize. Are the upper level winds favorable? Is this an area worth commenting on?

A big hurricane is on the way....the question is, this year or not....and where?
Wave in Gulf (#3)
Posted by: Colleen Location: Lakeland, Florida
Posted On 04:42PM 01-Sep-1999 with id (RPUNQXXNQYVNRT*)

Actually, a local news station here mentioned that the system you are referring to seems to have a circulation trying to develop. I don't know if it's moving east, west, north or south. But it seems like they don't really give them any hype as long as something else is going on...namely Dennis. So, I guess we are going to have to wait and see.
Dennis reinvigorated (#4)
Posted by: Bill
Posted On 05:23PM 01-Sep-1999 with id (RPTNQQPNRQTNUQ*)

As per the last few hours, Dennis appears to be making a comeback. Convection has refired near the center, with a convective band wrapping into the center. The convection is not being sheared off, and is much more extensive, even as of now wrapping around to the s side of the center. 72 hrs forecast puts it off SC.

Stay tuned, Dennis down but not out...a tiny deepening trend seems to be starting.
DENNIS AND THE ATLANTIC (#5)
Posted by: Mike Anderson
Posted On 05:44PM 01-Sep-1999 with id (RPUNQXXNQYVNSQ*)

I have been out for the last few day's,but let's get right to what i think is going on ,DENNIS is trapped this afternoon and the top's are blowing off the thunderstorm's that are trying to reform around the center, as for what im seeing with DENNIS and his future movement, and the possible return to the sunshine state, well i just dont see that in the cards, im expecting that DENNIS will hang out for the bext day or so and than get lifted out later in the week, i do not think that the system will get it's act together as far a a real tropical threat again, Now on to the waves , at this time i can sum that all up by sayin that tropical storm formation is not likley for the next few days, id also like to end this post by saying that i have had numerous requests to have a site of my own ,in the past i have not given that a thought till now, i am happy to say that i am under construction with my new web site , this site will feature up to the min tropical weather, I will continue to post on this great site as well, i just thought it was time to offer just another tool to our readers that they can use for information in our ever changeing weather today, Again i think that a great thanks goes out to Mike C for this useful tool.CFHC, i will be on from time to time , thats it for now Mike Anderson Florida Wx, Keep an eye open for the new site coming soon.
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