Hurricane Floyd Forms East of the Leeward Islands
07:22 AM EDT - 10 September 1999
Interesting changes have been happening since yesterday. It appears the chances for a US landfall are going up, but it is still not certain. People from here in Florida up to southern New England will have to watch this storm as it moves westward. A threat to Florida is still somewhat unlikely, but it will become more clear in about 3 days or so.
Once again it depends on a weather trough moving out and a ridge taking its place. Some models (GFDL) move it dramatically westward, while others (NOGAPS) Keep it off the coast, but move it closer to New England. Indeed some people have noted a similar setup to some of the big storms that have hit the Northeast US. But that seems to be mostly speculation at this point. The Leeward islands will get clipped, but I don't think they will deal with the eyewall effects. For intensity, I think we'll see a major hurricane out of Floyd. At least a mid-range category 3. If landfall occurs it won't be until 4-5 days from now (assuming it does not stall). Once again, the entire southeast coast, from Florida all the way up to New England should be watching this one.
Personal Reports from the Caribbean -- Caribbean Hurricane Page
For more information on Hurricane Floyd see the Current Storm Spotlight for Hurricane Floyd.
Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
GFDL Model & Plot
Weather Channel Caribbean Sat Image
Intellicast Caribbean IR Loop
Intellicast Atlantic IR Loop
More Sat images: [N.A. visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [N.A. infrared] (infrared), and [N.A. water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.