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MikeCAdministrator
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Tropical Storm Jose Forms and Irene's Second Landfall
      #92007 - Sun Aug 28 2011 12:14 PM

11 PM EDT 28 August 2011 Update
The last advisory on Irene was just issued. Irene is very likely to be retired as a name.

10 PM EDT 28 August 2011 Update
The invest 92L has a 100% chance to develop and advisory should be issued on it shortly later tonight or tomorrow. Odds still favor a recurve, but are dropping. There will be a long time to watch this one, hot towers are firing around the center and something may form at any time.

The general center of 92L seems to be forming just south of 10 N.

Power outages across the Irene landfall area continue, with the worst inland flooding reports coming from Vermont, Western Massachusetts, Northwest New Hampshire, and upstate New York. Events in Vermont may make this the worst storm in Vermont's history as multiple reports of historic buildings and bridges of being destroyed by floodwaters.

Original Update
Irene has made landfall near Little Egg Inlet, officially as a 75mph hurricane.

Irene continues to weaken as it heads generally north northeast the wind and rain should continue over New England today.

Meanwhile southwest of Bermuda, Jose has formed from 91L, it is expected to stay west of Bermuda and not make landfall, because of the proximity Tropical Storm Warnings are up for Bermuda.
'
Elsewhere, a large wave exiting from Africa (92L) has a 40% chance to develop in the next few days. Odds favor this recurving also, but it is not as certain as the last wave.

Event Links

Flhurricane Disaster and preparatory information thread.

Landfall Area Media:
WECT 6TV - Wilmington, NC
WITN 7 - Eastern North Carolina TV (NBC)
WCTI 12 - Eastern North Carolina (ABC)
WNCT TV 9 - Eastern North Carolina (CBS)
Wavy 10 (NBC) - Hampton Roads/VA Beach, VA TV
WTKR 3 (CBS) - Hampton Roads/VA Beach, VA
WVEC 13 (ABC) - Hampton Roads/VA Beach, VA

Webcams: (south to north)
Live Myrtle Beach Cam
Myrtle Beach Earthcam
Bar Harbor Myrtle Beach Live Cam
Crown Reef Myrtle Beach Live Cam
North Myrtle Beach Controllable Cam (Flhurricane Recording of this camera
Holden Beach, NC Cam (flhurricane recording)
Oriental, NC Harbor Cam -- flhurricane recording
HurricaneTrack.com Tower Cam 1 (Hatteras) -- Flhurricane recording

Dare County Em Management


Papers:
Outer Banks Sentinel
Wilmington Star News Online
Hampton Roads Pilot


Power Outage Maps (roughly south to north)
Eastern Carolinas Power outage map
Virginia Power outage map
DelMarva Power outage map
Novec/Northern Virginia Power outage map
Portions Maryland/DC power outage Map
Baltimore area Power outage map
Southern Maryland Power outage map
Southeastern Pennsylvania Outage Map
Atlantic City (Southern New Jersey) Power outage map
Jersey Central Power outage map
Northern New Jersey PSEG outage map
New York City/ConEd Power outage map
Long Island Power outage map
Connecticut Power outage map
Rhode Island/Mass Power outage map
New Hampshire Power outage map

Audio streams of Various police/EM scanners

Keep up with where Mark Sudduth (Hurricanetrack.com) is as he drives around the Outer Banks of North Carolina

Chasercam live

CrazyMother Severe Weather Live Feed (Lot's of Nature Here)


Canadian Hurricane Centre



Irene Storm Surge Probabilities

Hope Town Fire rescue on Abaco Island, storm information

Updated Map of Mark Sudduth from HurricaneTrack.com, with video and radar for Irene approach See HurricaneTrack.com for more information.

RGB satellite recording of Irene.

Long Term Long Range US Radar of Irene

Level 3 Radar recording of Irene's NC approach (HCW)

Map plot of Irene overlaid on Hurricane Floyd (1999) as well as other notable New England storms

StormCarib Reports from the Caribbean Islands

Caribbean Weather Observations

Barbados Brohav Weather Fax

Full Caribbean Radar Composite

Caribbean Broadcast Corporation (TV/Radio from Antilles)

San Juan, PR NWS Page

Various Caribbean Radio Stations

DR1 Dominican Republic Hurricanes



Mid-Atlantic/Carolina Links <html><a href="http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/Conus/southeast_lite_loop.php" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/Conus/Loop/southeast_loop.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();">Southeast Composite Radar Loop</A> 

(<a href="http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/Conus/southeast_lite.php"

onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/Conus/RadarImg/southeast.gif\>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();">Latest Static</a></html>)

<html> <a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>clx<html>_loop.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>clx<html>_loop.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();"></html>Charleston, SC Radar<html> Radar Loop</A> 

(<a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>clx<html>_0.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>clx<html>_0.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();">Latest Static</a>)</html>

<html> <a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>ltx<html>_loop.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>ltx<html>_loop.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();"></html>Wilmington, NC Radar<html> Radar Loop</A> 

(<a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>ltx<html>_0.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>ltx<html>_0.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();">Latest Static</a>)</html>

<html> <a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>mhx<html>_loop.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>mhx<html>_loop.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();"></html>Morehead City, NC Radar<html> Radar Loop</A> 

(<a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>mhx<html>_0.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>mhx<html>_0.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();">Latest Static</a>)</html>

<html> <a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>akq<html>_loop.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>akq<html>_loop.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();"></html>Norfolk/Wakefield, VA Radar<html> Radar Loop</A> 

(<a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>akq<html>_0.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>akq<html>_0.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();">Latest Static</a>)</html>

Area Forecast Discussions: Charleston, SC - Wilmington, NC - Morehead City, NC - Norfolk/Virginia Beach/Hampton Roads, VA

Power Outage Maps: South Carolina Power Outage Map North Carolina Power Outage Map Virginia Power Outage Map



Northeast US Radar Links <html><a href="http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/Conus/northeast_lite_loop.php" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/Conus/Loop/northeast_loop.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();">Northeast Composite Radar Loop</A> 

(<a href="http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/Conus/northeast_lite.php"

onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/Conus/RadarImg/northeast.gif\>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();">Latest Static</a></html>)

<html> <a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>dox<html>_loop.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>dox<html>_loop.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();"></html>Dover, DE Radar<html> Radar Loop</A> 

(<a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>dox<html>_0.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>dox<html>_0.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();">Latest Static</a>)</html>

<html> <a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>dix<html>_loop.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>dix<html>_loop.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();"></html>Mt. Holly, NJ Radar<html> Radar Loop</A> 

(<a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>dix<html>_0.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>dix<html>_0.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();">Latest Static</a>)</html>

<html> <a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>okx<html>_loop.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>okx<html>_loop.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();"></html>Upton/NYC/Long Island, NY Radar<html> Radar Loop</A> 

(<a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>okx<html>_0.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>okx<html>_0.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();">Latest Static</a>)</html>

<html> <a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>box<html>_loop.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>box<html>_loop.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();"></html>Boston/Cape Cod, MA Radar<html> Radar Loop</A> 

(<a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>box<html>_0.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>box<html>_0.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();">Latest Static</a>)</html>

<html> <a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>gyx<html>_loop.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>gyx<html>_loop.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();"></html>Portland, ME Radar<html> Radar Loop</A> 

(<a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>gyx<html>_0.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>gyx<html>_0.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();">Latest Static</a>)</html>

<html> <a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>cbw<html>_loop.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>cbw<html>_loop.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();"></html>Carabou, ME Radar<html> Radar Loop</A> 

(<a href="https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>cbw<html>_0.gif" onMouseover="ddrivetip('<img src=\'https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/K</html>cbw<html>_0.gif\'>');" onMouseout="hideddrivetip();">Latest Static</a>)</html>




Irene Event Related Links


https://flhurricane.com/images/2011/float9latest.gif https://flhurricane.com/images/2011/stormplotthumb_9.gif

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page


[https://flhurricane.com/floatanimator.php?year=2011&storm=9 Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of Irene
GOES Floater
Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of Irene


Clark Evans Track Model Plot of Irene (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of Irene (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of Irene

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for Irene
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on Irene -- RAMMB Info
COD Atlantic Satellite View




Jose Event Related Links


https://flhurricane.com/images/2011/float11latest.gif https://flhurricane.com/images/2011/stormplotthumb_11.gif

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page


[https://flhurricane.com/floatanimator.php?year=2011&storm=11 Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of Jose
GOES Floater
Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of Jose


Clark Evans Track Model Plot of Jose (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of Jose (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of Jose

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for Jose
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on Jose -- RAMMB Info
COD Atlantic Satellite View




92L Event Related Links


https://flhurricane.com/images/2011/float12latest.gif https://flhurricane.com/images/2011/stormplotthumb_12.gif

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page


[https://flhurricane.com/floatanimator.php?year=2011&storm=12 Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of 92L
GOES Floater
Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of 92L


Clark Evans Track Model Plot of 92L (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of 92L (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of 92L

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for 92L
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on 92L -- RAMMB Info
COD Atlantic Satellite View




Long term Central Atlantic wide area Water Vapor Satellite for Hurricane Season Peak flhurricane)

Long term West Atlantic wide area Water Vapor Satellite for Hurricane Season Peak flhurricane)

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gsb2106
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Re: Tropical Storm Jose Forms and Irene's Second Landfall [Re: MikeC]
      #92010 - Sun Aug 28 2011 02:34 PM

I'm on the UWS of Manhattan. Nobody in Manhattan lost power or internet it seems. Lots of rain, but barely any wind...just occasional gusts, no more than a typical rainstorm in the late summer here. Not sure where the local news is getting the 65mph sustained winds data from! I'm surprised that the storm was drastically downgraded hours ago. Glad to have been prepared though.

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StrmTrckrMiami
Weather Guru


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Loc: Manchester, NH
Re: Tropical Storm Jose Forms and Irene's Second Landfall [Re: gsb2106]
      #92016 - Sun Aug 28 2011 04:02 PM

Is there any link that shows exactly where her eye is current time? I ask because here it is 110% calm... like nothing is happening

--------------------


Tracking Storms Since 2004
Miami, Cocoa, Fort Myers and Jacksonville
Currently Reside in New England

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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


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Re: Tropical Storm Jose Forms and Irene's Second Landfall [Re: StrmTrckrMiami]
      #92018 - Sun Aug 28 2011 04:16 PM

No real time link - just satellite data. The center should be nearing the Pittsfield area in far western Massachusetts (around Noon) and thats quite a distance from Manchester. At Noon, Manchester was gusting to 35mph and Boston was gusting to 59mph.
ED

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JMII
Weather Master


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Posts: 489
Loc: Margate, Florida
Re: Tropical Storm Jose Forms and Irene's Second Landfall [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #92022 - Sun Aug 28 2011 04:34 PM

Sorry my post was in the wrong place http://flhurricane.com/cyclone/showflat.php?Cat=0&Number=92008&an=0&page=0#92008
but yes... all data indicates a TS is what NYC and many other areas experienced with Irene moving thru.

--------------------
South FL Native... experienced many tropical systems, put up the panels for:
David 79 - Floyd 87 - Andrew 92 - Georges 98 - Frances 04 - Wilma 05 - Matthew 16 - Irma 17
Lost our St James City rental property to Ian 22


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StrmTrckrMiami
Weather Guru


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Loc: Manchester, NH
Re: Tropical Storm Jose Forms and Irene's Second Landfall [Re: JMII]
      #92032 - Sun Aug 28 2011 09:55 PM

http://www.wmur.com/video/29007165/detail.html

This is Hampton Beach. That has to be about a 10-12 foot surge. Where those waves are currently, would be beautiful sand....

Currently RADAR shows her entering Mass on the West Side. Were waiting here for the effects of her... though we have been feeling her all day...

--------------------


Tracking Storms Since 2004
Miami, Cocoa, Fort Myers and Jacksonville
Currently Reside in New England

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MikeCAdministrator
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Re: Tropical Storm Jose Forms and Irene's Second Landfall [Re: StrmTrckrMiami]
      #92033 - Sun Aug 28 2011 11:12 PM

Inland Flooding wise, looks like Vermont's got the worst of it, but still seems pretty bad. The dams in New England really can't cope with the amount of water that's been up there lately, and Irene's probably going to stress a few (or cause emergency releases). Places I've heard about: Wilmington, Vermont for example. Dams in danger I know of: Arlington Dam in VT, Gilboa Dam, near Albany NY. (Quite a few others unnamed also) Lots of rivers overflowing there banks.

Irene's going to be retired, but it looks like the flooding (mostly away from the major cities) is going to be the largest cause of damage. Some of that may get down to the Cities later, so the flooding may come later than anticipated.

Video of Historic Lower Barttonsville Covered Bridge being destroyed by Irene's Floodwaters (Caution for language)

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MikeCAdministrator
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Re: Tropical Storm Jose Forms and Irene's Second Landfall [Re: MikeC]
      #92035 - Mon Aug 29 2011 03:07 AM

Still watching Vermont... Reports saying. The Vermont emergency command center is being evacuated due to flooding (Which is a new building that has only recently been opened) Dams over topping, nothing breached, although emergency releases are occuring.

Plenty of reports and videos:

http://rutlandherald.typepad.com/vermonttoday/

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Joeyfl
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Re: Tropical Storm Jose Forms and Irene's Second Landfall [Re: MikeC]
      #92036 - Mon Aug 29 2011 03:32 AM

No doubt we will likely have new tropical storm in morning on 92l. It looks very impressive with deep convection near center and nice banding well under way. Way to early to say if this will fish or not, its rather far south in latitude to start. Looking at model data I was confident on eventual turn but that might be decreasing. So likely another to watch soon to be Katia...

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