danielwAdministrator
(Moderator)
Wed Jan 26 2005 06:16 AM
Re:Blizzard 'A' 2005

Blizzard "A", 2005, has apparently helped in coining a new meteorology term. BOMBOGENESIS . This term was used to identify the Rapid Deepening of the Low that brought the Blizzard conditions to the New England area last week.
Here's an excerpt from one of the Wx reports out of Boston.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
820 PM EST FRI JAN 21 2005
....MEDIUM RANGE (SAT NIGHT AND SUNDAY)... LATEST 12Z MODEL GUIDANCE IS NOW BEGINNING TO COME INTO AGREEMENT...WITH AMPLIFIED UPPER TROF BECOMING A CLOSED LOW OVER NJ 12Z SUN. AT THE SURFACE... BOMBOGENESIS TAKING PLACE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND SAT NIGHT INTO SUN...WITH ALL MODELS (EXCEPT THE GFS) FORECASTING A 985-989 LOW NEAR THE BENCHMARK AT 12Z SUN...AND CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN! ONLY MODEL DEVIATING FROM THIS SOLUTION IS THE 12Z OPERATIONAL GFS. IT IS FARTHER SOUTH AND MORE PROGRESSIVE. ALTHOUGH...MANY OF ITS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS ARE MIRRORING THE STRONGER AND FARTHER NORTH SOLUTION OF THE 12Z ETA/UKMET/ECMWF AND CANADIAN. THUS...GIVEN THE 12Z OPERATIONAL GFS IS AN OUTLIER...WE ARE LEANING TOWARD A BLEND OF THE 12Z ETA/ UKMET/ ECMWF AND CANADIAN. WITH THE 12Z GFS ENSEMBLES LEANING TOWARD THIS SOLUTION...I THINK IT IS JUST A MATTER OF TIME BEFORE THE GFS COMES AROUND TO THIS STRONGER AND FARTHER NORTH SOLUTION.


NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
935 AM EST SUN JAN 23 2005
BLIZZARD OF 2005 IN PROGRESS
AND WILL CONTINUE INTO LATE MORNING BOSTON-PROVIDENCE CORRIDOR AND EARLY AFTERNOON CAPE COD-NANTUCKET!!!
MESO-ANALYSIS
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS HAVE NOW ARRIVED IN SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND!!! NANTUCKET ASOS AT 904 AM REPORTED 64 KT/74 MPH WIND GUST! VERY IMPRESSIVE AND UNCOMMON AT THIS LATITUDE. DAMAGING WINDS CONTINUE TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD AT 9 AM ACROSS COASTAL PLYMOUTH/CAPE COD AND NANTUCKET...WITH NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES. 06Z ETA AND GFS HANDLING WIND FIELD VERY WELL...AND HAVE WINDS CONTINUING TO INCREASE UP TIL 1 PM...AND THEN ONLY GRADUAL DIMINISHING LATE TODAY. THUS...EXPECTING HURRICANE FORCE WINDS TO CONTINUE ON NANTUCKET AND TRANSLATE NORTHWARD ACROSS CAPE COD THIS MORNING AND INTO EARLY AFTERNOON.



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