Well, May 2008 is now "in the books". Could South Florida be in the crosshairs of a Hurricane landfall this year?

Now that May has passed and preliminary data for May rainfall shows how little rain we received here in S. Florida, I thought to re-visit a previously discussed observation ( and discussion thread ). According to Jim Lushine of NWS Miami, a study of his, has revealed a potential link between rainfall in May and probability of hurricane activity for South Florida:

Exerpt:

"Plotting 75 years worth of May rainfall data, Lushine found the probability of a hurricane striking South Florida ALMOST TRIPLED after a very DRY May. Conversely, the chances of a hurricane striking South Florida after a wet May were three times less."

NWS data for May 2008
Miami, Fl. - 3.81" below normal
Ft. Laud. Fl - 4.00" below normal
W. Palm Beach, Fl - 2.97" below normal
Naples, Fl. - 3.87" below normal
Tampa, Fl. - 2.12" below normal

For those seeking further information: http://www.insurancejournal.com/news/so ... /54367.htm