craigm
(Storm Tracker)
Thu Jun 05 2008 05:44 PM
Re: Increased S. Florida Hurricane Risk? - May Precip. Totals

Quote:

Was that the same set up when Betsy crossed through Florida into La?

I've heard that theory. Then again is there an indicator how far north that works?

How does a place like Savannah get hit by a storm? The high is holding tight across the whole SE part of the country.



DC, You can never rule out a landfall anywhere along the east coast.
Watch this loop and you can see the fluid nature of the high and low pressure areas. When a storm turns north it is finding a weakness in the high pressure area.
The blue areas are low pressure and the yelow and orange are the highs. You can see how everything is constantly changing however the bermuda high persists over the Atlantic, during Hurricane season,with weaknesses developing periodically which allow storms to escape northward. This is a loop of the Navy model but you will see something similar on all of them.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/ngptc2.cgi?time=2008060512&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation


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