The ULL over Florida is pulling out to the NE and a surface trough is exiting off the western GOM coast.
This could serve to pull the entire unsettled area in the W. Carribean northward, as I believe the current motion indicates. It is an elongated wave, and the Tropical Discussion indicated it was moving westward. That may be so, but the moisture with it is definitely pulling north. I have seen this pattern before about this time of year, more than once, and it has resulted in training tropical rains along and over the peninsula of Florida, with huge accumulations. We need the rain to break a two year drought.

(Post was moved to the appropriate on-going thread. Remember the current Storm Forum topic deals with the wave east of the Windwards. Trying to avoid mixing topics if possible.)