Ed DunhamAdministrator
(Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017))
Sat Oct 23 2004 05:16 PM
Re: Bahamas death toll.

An effort should have been made to verify the facts before submitting this type of a post. It took me about 12 seconds to determine that the loss of life attributed to Frances was 23 and the loss of life attributed to Ivan was 90 - and thats for the entire track. A Category V storm surge is only about 25 feet - and thats with a direct hit. In the Caribbean Sea (deep water and no nearshore 'shelf' effect) the maximum storm surge is probably more like 15 feet It is unlikely that a 15 foot storm surge would extend inland over a half mile (probably less). In other words, Grand Cayman could never be inundated by a hurricane. Loss of life could still be high, but in this case (Ivan) it wasn't. The port is open on Grand Cayman and utilities (mostly power) are still being restored.

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